GCC's Corrugated Paper Box Market Expected to Show Slight Increase with 1.1% CAGR from 2024 to 2035 - News and Statistics - IndexBox

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IndexBox has just published a new report: GCC - Cartons, Boxes And Cases Of Corrugated Paper Or Paperboard - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The demand for corrugated paper boxes in the GCC is set to rise, leading to a forecasted increase in market volume to 2.5M tons and market value to $7.9B by 2035. The market is expected to see steady growth with a CAGR of +1.1% in volume and +2.7% in value from 2024 to 2035.

Driven by rising demand for corrugated paper box in GCC, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next decade. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +1.1% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 2.5M tons by the end of 2035.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.7% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $7.9B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.

In 2024, consumption of cartons, boxes and cases of corrugated paper or paperboard decreased by -0.8% to 2.2M tons, falling for the third year in a row after four years of growth. Overall, consumption showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 9.8%. Over the period under review, consumption hit record highs at 2.3M tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The revenue of the corrugated paper box market in GCC rose remarkably to $5.9B in 2024, picking up by 13% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The level of consumption peaked at $6B in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Saudi Arabia (1.3M tons) remains the largest corrugated paper box consuming country in GCC, comprising approx. 60% of total volume. Moreover, corrugated paper box consumption in Saudi Arabia exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, the United Arab Emirates (482K tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Oman (183K tons), with an 8.2% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of volume in Saudi Arabia totaled -2.4%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: the United Arab Emirates (+10.4% per year) and Oman (-0.5% per year).

In value terms, Saudi Arabia ($3.8B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by the United Arab Emirates ($1B). It was followed by Oman.

In Saudi Arabia, the corrugated paper box market contracted by an average annual rate of -2.4% over the period from 2013-2024. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United Arab Emirates (+14.7% per year) and Oman (+1.1% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of corrugated paper box per capita consumption in 2024 were the United Arab Emirates (47 kg per person), Saudi Arabia (36 kg per person) and Kuwait (36 kg per person).

From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for the United Arab Emirates (with a CAGR of +9.3%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the per capita consumption figures.

In 2024, approx. 2.3M tons of cartons, boxes and cases of corrugated paper or paperboard were produced in GCC; remaining stable against 2023. Overall, production saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 9.8%. The volume of production peaked at 2.3M tons in 2013; afterwards, it flattened through to 2024.

In value terms, corrugated paper box production soared to $6.2B in 2024 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the production volume increased by 29% against the previous year. The level of production peaked in 2024 and is likely to see steady growth in the near future.

Saudi Arabia (1.4M tons) remains the largest corrugated paper box producing country in GCC, comprising approx. 61% of total volume. Moreover, corrugated paper box production in Saudi Arabia exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United Arab Emirates (490K tons), threefold. Oman (180K tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 7.9% share.

In Saudi Arabia, corrugated paper box production contracted by an average annual rate of -2.4% over the period from 2013-2024. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United Arab Emirates (+10.3% per year) and Oman (+0.0% per year).

After two years of growth, overseas purchases of cartons, boxes and cases of corrugated paper or paperboard decreased by -26% to 61K tons in 2024. Over the period under review, imports recorded a pronounced setback. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 27%. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure at 106K tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2024, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, corrugated paper box imports fell remarkably to $171M in 2024. Total imports indicated a slight expansion from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, imports decreased by -16.4% against 2022 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 38%. The level of import peaked at $205M in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, imports failed to regain momentum.

Saudi Arabia was the largest importer of cartons, boxes and cases of corrugated paper or paperboard in GCC, with the volume of imports reaching 28K tons, which was near 47% of total imports in 2024. The United Arab Emirates (16K tons) took a 27% share (based on physical terms) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Oman (12%), Kuwait (6.4%) and Qatar (6.2%). Bahrain (981 tons) held a relatively small share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Saudi Arabia (with a CAGR of +2.1%), while imports for the other leaders experienced a decline in the imports figures.

In value terms, Saudi Arabia ($84M), the United Arab Emirates ($43M) and Oman ($18M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2024, together accounting for 85% of total imports.

Saudi Arabia, with a CAGR of +8.5%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the imports figures.

In 2024, the import price in GCC amounted to $2,812 per ton, picking up by 15% against the previous year. In general, the import price showed a strong increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 an increase of 30%. The level of import peaked in 2024 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Qatar ($3,556 per ton), while Oman ($2,337 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Qatar (+10.3%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2024, overseas shipments of cartons, boxes and cases of corrugated paper or paperboard decreased by -5.4% to 107K tons for the first time since 2021, thus ending a two-year rising trend. In general, exports continue to indicate a mild decrease. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 with an increase of 38% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports attained the peak figure at 132K tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2024, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, corrugated paper box exports surged to $298M in 2024. Overall, exports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2022 with an increase of 66% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum in 2024 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

In 2024, Saudi Arabia (74K tons) was the key exporter of cartons, boxes and cases of corrugated paper or paperboard, creating 69% of total exports. It was distantly followed by the United Arab Emirates (24K tons), constituting a 22% share of total exports. The following exporters - Kuwait (4.5K tons) and Oman (4.1K tons) - each accounted for an 8.1% share of total exports.

Saudi Arabia experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of exports of cartons, boxes and cases of corrugated paper or paperboard. At the same time, Kuwait (+9.9%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Kuwait emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in GCC, with a CAGR of +9.9% from 2013-2024. By contrast, the United Arab Emirates (-4.2%) and Oman (-4.5%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Saudi Arabia (+13 p.p.) and Kuwait (+3 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total exports, while the United Arab Emirates saw its share reduced by -7.5% from 2013 to 2024, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Saudi Arabia ($222M) remains the largest corrugated paper box supplier in GCC, comprising 74% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by the United Arab Emirates ($58M), with a 19% share of total exports. It was followed by Kuwait, with a 3.1% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of value in Saudi Arabia was relatively modest. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United Arab Emirates (+1.6% per year) and Kuwait (+10.1% per year).

In 2024, the export price in GCC amounted to $2,801 per ton, picking up by 28% against the previous year. Export price indicated temperate growth from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +2.4% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, corrugated paper box export price increased by +98.2% against 2019 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 40% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices attained the peak figure in 2024 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major exporting countries. In 2024, major exporting countries recorded the following prices: in Saudi Arabia ($3,008 per ton) and the United Arab Emirates ($2,427 per ton), while Kuwait ($2,068 per ton) and Oman ($2,134 per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Oman (+13.4%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the corrugated paper box market in GCC. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

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